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Madison Keys vs Kayla Day Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Day analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Madison Keys vs Kayla Day Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Keys 1 - 1 Day

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 46.01% of points on their second serve, while Day has won 44.66%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 57.43% of their opponent's second serve points, while Day has won 51.9%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.91% and 35.98% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 58.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Day has saved 58.02% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 71.11% of matches played (W/L 32/ 13), with Day winning 51.52% (W/L 34/ 32) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Day has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 84/ 55), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 2/ 5).
  • Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.89% of matches (W/L 11/ 8), where as Day has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 68.42% of matches (W/L 26/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Keys winning 1 times and Day being victorious 1 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Keys winning 3 and Day winning 2. The last match between Keys and Day was at the French Open - Paris, 01-06-2023, Second, Clay with Kayla Day getting the victory 6-2 4-6 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:36:30.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Day have played a deciding set 1 times, with Keys winning 0 times and Day 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 0, and Day 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 99.44 while Day has played against players with an average rank of 195.21.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Day has won 42% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 45.26% of breakpoint opportunities, and Day has converted 44.22% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Madison Keys

12

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

12

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

130

Rank

84

High

24

Age

L

Plays

Kayla Day

5

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

0

Minor

1

Total

1

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L W W W W W L

Form

W W W L L L L L W L

64% (375-213)

Career Total W/L

56% (221-174)

71% (15-6)

YTD W/L

43% (15-20)

$15,284,067

Career Prize Money

$511,606

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Keys VS Day H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Madison Keys Kayla Day
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 3 2
Games Won 24 18
Aces (Total) 10 3
DFs (Total) 2 8
Avg Match Time 1:36:30 1:36:30
1st Serve % 58% (76/131) 58% (89/154)
1st Serve Win% 61% (46/76) 57% (51/89)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (24/55) 37% (24/65)
BPs Won% (Total) 41% (12/29) 56% (9/16)
Return Points W% 51% (79/154) 47% (61/131)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Keys VS Day H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 4-6 6-4
cross
Kayla Day
Player
Madison Keys
58% ( 59 of 102)
1st Serve %
54% ( 52 of 96)
2
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
1
63% ( 37 of 59)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
37% ( 16 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
48% ( 49 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 54 of 96)
107
Total Points Won
91
6-1 6-1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Kayla Day
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve %
58% ( 30 of 52)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
96% ( 23 of 24)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
45% ( 5 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 7 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
29

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Madison Keys Kayla Day
YTD W/L 71% (15/6) 43% (15/20)
Sets Win/Loss 65% (31/17) 47% (40/45)
Games Win/Loss 55% (249/203) 49% (394/411)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 18% (2/9)
Clay Win/Loss 75% (12/4) 60% (12/8)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 25% (1/3)
Aces pg 0.31 0.29
Aces Total 67 113
DFs per game 0.23 0.35
DFs Total 50 138
Avg Match Time 1:37:22 1:57:13
Avg Opp Rank 104.24 181.11
1st Serve % 67% (971/1460) 62% (1716/2764)
1st Serve W% 65% (636/971) 63% (1087/1716)
2nd Serve W% 46% (225/489) 45% (468/1048)
BPs Won% Total 45% (86/190) 44% (130/294)
Return Pts W% 45% (675/1500) 42% (1103/2635)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/2)
Masters W/L 71% (10/4) 25% (1/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (3/1) 22% (2/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 60% (12/8)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 71% (15/21) 41% (14/34)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 75% (6/8) 44% (4/9)
Deciding Set W% 83% (5/6) 31% (5/16)
1st set W, W 93% (15/14) 68% (19/13)
1st set W, L 7% (15/1) 32% (19/6)
1st set L, W 17% (6/1) 6% (16/1)

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
77% ( 74 of 96)
1st Serve %
73% ( 61 of 84)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
1
66% ( 49 of 74)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 38 of 61)
36% ( 8 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
41% ( 39 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
85
L
7-6(5) 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Mayar Sherif
84% ( 47 of 56)
1st Serve %
81% ( 51 of 63)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
56% ( 5 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 17 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
69
Total Points Won
50
W
6-0 7-6(7) H2H
R1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Renata Zarazua
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 34 of 50)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
5
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
27% ( 4 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 3 of 16)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
45% ( 25 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
63
Total Points Won
42
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
62% ( 28 of 45)
1st Serve %
65% ( 39 of 60)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
68% ( 19 of 28)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
38% ( 17 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 35 of 60)
63
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve %
53% ( 29 of 55)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
4
61% ( 23 of 38)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 6 of 26)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
42% ( 21 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 34 of 55)
63
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve %
63% ( 33 of 52)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
0
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
35% ( 8 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
36% ( 23 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
67
Total Points Won
49
W
7-5 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 23 of 41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 10)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
62
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Sorana Cirstea
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
71% ( 25 of 35)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
35
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
55% ( 42 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 62 of 102)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
43% ( 33 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 49 of 102)
92
Total Points Won
86
W
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve %
68% ( 65 of 96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
38% ( 25 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 49 of 96)
90
Total Points Won
72
W
6-0 4-6 6-3 H2H

Kayla Day Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Veronika Kudermetova
Player
Kayla Day
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve %
58% ( 37 of 64)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 19 of 37)
80% ( 8 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 9 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 34 of 64)
62
Total Points Won
39
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Kayla Day
Player
Arina Rodionova
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve %
53% ( 23 of 43)
12
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 17 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 25 of 43)
61
Total Points Won
35
W
6-0 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Heather Watson
Player
Kayla Day
61% ( 46 of 76)
1st Serve %
68% ( 54 of 79)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 37 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 34 of 54)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 24 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 79)
85
Total Points Won
70
L
4-6 6-0 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Harmony Tan
Player
Kayla Day
57% ( 47 of 83)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 106)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
6
77% ( 36 of 47)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 47 of 68)
64% ( 23 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
17% ( 3 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 24 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
103
Total Points Won
86
L
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Hailey Baptiste
Player
Kayla Day
55% ( 44 of 80)
1st Serve %
52% ( 44 of 85)
4
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
4
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
53% ( 19 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 21 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 27 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
91
Total Points Won
74
L
4-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Zhuoxuan Bai
Player
Kayla Day
63% ( 52 of 82)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 86)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
63% ( 33 of 52)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
40% ( 33 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 39 of 86)
88
Total Points Won
80
L
6-3 7-6(4) H2H
SF
cross
Iva Jovic
Player
Kayla Day
53% ( 42 of 80)
1st Serve %
52% ( 26 of 50)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
6
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
55% ( 21 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 8 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
39% ( 31 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
73
Total Points Won
57
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Kayla Day
Player
Eugenie Bouchard
70% ( 52 of 74)
1st Serve %
59% ( 43 of 73)
4
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
5
65% ( 34 of 52)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
23% ( 5 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
47% ( 35 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 35 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
73
W
6-7(4) 7-5 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Kayla Day
Player
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
58% ( 33 of 57)
1st Serve %
72% ( 58 of 81)
-
Aces
-
1
Double Faults
9
70% ( 23 of 33)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 33 of 58)
46% ( 11 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 5 of 23)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
40% ( 23 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 43 of 81)
77
Total Points Won
61
W
6-1 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Kayla Day
Player
Robin Anderson
65% ( 35 of 54)
1st Serve %
58% ( 37 of 64)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
35% ( 19 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 30 of 64)
65
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

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